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Tuesday, February 5, 2008

California Dreaming....

Looks like Romney has a shot at doing well in the big prize: California. Even McCain is playing down his chances there.
For at least one candidate, though, California will not be the story. John McCain, once an afterthought, then the front-runner, is seeing his poll numbers in the Golden State sink again. After enjoying leads as high as 19 points, just days after his New Hampshire win, and 13 points, in a CNN/Politico/LA Times poll last week, McCain now owns just a 2-point lead in the latest RCP California Average.

The news may be worse than that. A tracking poll for C-SPAN and Reuters, taken by Zogby, shows distinct movement toward McCain's chief opponent in California, Mitt Romney. After taking the lead yesterday, Romney is now up by eight points. A victory by such a small margin would only give Romney a few extra delegates -- the state allocates most of their Republican delegates in a winner-take-all by Congressional District fashion.

In anticipation of such a result, McCain's team has started downplaying expectations and California's relative importance.

Even if a win in California left Romney at a disadvantage in the rest of the country, it would be a huge boost for a candidate who has looked, if not resigned to his fate, at least on the ropes and badly in need of a victory. A Golden State win could prove to the former Massachusetts governor that a one-on-one race against McCain really could turn to Romney's advantage, and in the end, that could make for a renewed interest in a long-term crusade against the Arizona maverick.
That along with some wins and strong showings in other states will keep this race open and hopefully conservatives can come together behind Mitt for the primaries that remain after tomorrow. Come on Mitt, it's time to kick it into gear...run with what you get tomorrow and let's put a dent in fender of "the Straight Talk Express"!

P.S. I wonder if I'm on Cindy McCain's grudge list yet? That would be cool!

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